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== Neural Market Trends ==
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Anavex Life Sciences Drops

Stocks Investing AXVL

A few of the news sources I follow for investing and trading started spitting out the Q4 earnings results for Anavex Life Science (AVXL). It’s a biotech company that reported a $10.1 million loss. It would appear that a lot of traders were long, hoping for a breakout. It failed and sold off and it sounds like a lot of people lost their shirts yesterday.

I have no idea what Anavex does or researches, I don’t need to. I just need to look at the charts and realize that it’s a dog.

It IPO’d sometime in 2007, so it’s been around for a long time. It had its heyday and peak price sometime in early 2021 and since then has been on a decline, sometimes violently.

I’m sure there are a lot of people trapped here, much like GME traders, and looking at the last 6 months, it appears that the $7 price level was key here. A lot of people were looking for a breakout.

That breakout didn’t happen, and why would it? All the technical information tells me it’s still a long-term downward trend. Maybe $5 a share is the low point but I wouldn’t even consider buying this company, selling short maybe.

AVXL is part of the Russell 2000, the small-cap index famous for all kinds of risk, volatility, and lunacy. I do own a lot of Russell 2000 and small-cap indexes for my portfolio and generally like them. They help turbocharge my returns in good years and sting hard me hard in bad years. C’est La Vie.

A smarter person would skip AVXL and just invest in a low-cost Russel 2000 index fund. Why? because it outperformed AVXL.

2023-11-28-AVXL-RUT-Relative-Performance.png

Sure it outperformed the Russell 2000 from 2007 to late 2011, but after that, it sucked bad. The moral of the story and why I don’t day or swing trade anymore is because of results like this. In a nutshell, it’s better to buy low-cost index mutual funds across diverse assets and dollar cost averages. That’s how you build long-term wealth and that’s how I do it.

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