Forex Trading Plan

Does anybody remember the Seinfeld episode where George Costanza started doing everything opposite? His life turned around and he women, fame, and fortune. Well I had George Costanza moment yesterday (ed. Repost from Digital Breakfast) . I'm trying a new currency trading strategy that does a few things opposite of what I did before. Here's the revised and stripped down Forex trading plan. - Concentrate on five major pairs as defined by Oanda.com. They are: EUR/USD ...

Thomas Ott

Currency Relationships

I was inspired to generate three data graphs from my currency models for my readers after reading Maoxian's post on the British Pound. These graphs show price relationships between the Euro and the US Dollar Index, the Euro and the British Pound, and finally the Euro and the Swiss Franc. Euro/USD Index Euro/British Pound Euro/Swiss Franc With the exception of the Euro/British Pound, the price relationship between the Euro, USD Index, and the Swiss Franc is pretty much linearly correlated. :)

Thomas Ott

Currency Trends No. 1

Good Morning! The results are in for this week’s currency neural net model. Aussie D - RANGE British Pound- STRONG UP USD - DOWN Euro - UP Yen - DOWN Swiss Franc - UP What I'm seeing is that the Aussie D has probably topped out for the near term, while the British Pound is breaking out. Long term trends in the Euro and USD remain, as well as the Yen. What's interesting to note is that the Yen and Swiss Franc have been seeing a lot of intraweek trend flips. Although this week the trends show a DOWN and UP for the Yen and Franc, respectively, it's still too early to tell if this is indeed the beginnings of new trends. An UP trend in the Franc could mean near term topping in the Euro so we'll be watching these two currencies closely to see what they're going to do!

Thomas Ott

Gold Trend Remains Up

Just a quick snapshot from my Gold model. I created and use a machine learned/neural net model to generate BUY/SELL/HOLD signals. This particular model analyzed several input variables and then selected the best one based on a genetic algorithm. The trend remains UP. :)

Thomas Ott

Aussie Dollar Drops & Yen Rallies!

The Austrailian Dollar dropped this morning against the USD and I’m watching key support levels for possible entry points. So far, none of my limit BUY orders in AUD/USD and EUR/USD have been executed. That’s fine by me because my new trading plan requires super doses of patience and stalking. :) When I logged into Oanda this morning, the first chart I pulled up was EUR/JPY. The Yen rallied last night as traders are still on edge about carry trade unwinding. As I discussed previously, something’s going on with the Yen for sure. Last week’s currency model indicated spastic trend flips UP and DOWN which typical hints at a possible top (or bottom) in a trend. Since I monitor my currency models daily and I’ll be checking what it says later this morning! ...

Thomas Ott