Price Summary & Forecast Gold closed this week at $2645.00, from $2617.20 last week. The percent change was 1.06%. Full Predictions The gold price forecast for the next 4 weeks is: item_id timestamp Gold 2025-01-10 2619.638343 2025-01-17 2626.801003 2025-01-24 2627.912705 2025-01-31 2621.552808 Name: mean, dtype: float64 Gold Prices with Full 4-Week Forecast

Gold-to-Silver Ratio Summary & Forecast The gold-to-silver ratio closed this week at 88.74, compared to 88.25 last week. The percent change was 0.55% over the week. Full Predictions The forecast for the gold-to-silver ratio for the next 4 weeks is: item_id timestamp Gold-Silver Ratio 2025-01-10 90.507126 2025-01-17 91.132028 2025-01-24 91.380571 2025-01-31 91.531168 Name: mean, dtype: float64 Gold-to-Silver Ratio Chart

Price Summary & Forecast Silver closed this week at $29.81, from $29.66 last week. The percent change was 0.51%. Full Predictions The silver price forecast for the next 4 weeks is: item_id timestamp Silver 2025-01-10 29.592191 2025-01-17 29.586569 2025-01-24 29.468703 2025-01-31 29.723110 Name: mean, dtype: float64 Silver Prices with Full 4-Week Forecast

This video provides a comprehensive guide to constructing an efficient and diversified trading portfolio for active traders. Tom Sosnoff emphasizes product indifference, focusing on capital efficiency across various asset classes, including stocks, futures, and options. He advocates for non-correlation to minimize volatility and reduce outlier risk. The session covers practical strategies such as optimizing trade size, leveraging beta-weighted deltas, managing risk through dynamic hedging, and understanding the significance of expected moves and probabilities of profit. Read more...

I started option trading after reading the seminal book “Option Volatility & Pricing” by Sheldon Natenberg but I honed my strategies after listening to a bunch of TastyTrade videos. This video, on managing your option positions is a gold mine. See my notes below: 🔧 Building an Effective Watchlist Start with front-month index futures in descending order to track liquidity. Include liquid equities and organize by categories (e.g., gold, silver, bonds). Read more...

The chart illustrates the relationship between money market fund assets, the U.S. jobless rate, and recession periods over the past few decades. Historically, sharp increases in money market fund assets (blue line) often coincide with economic uncertainty as investors move towards safer, liquid investments. Simultaneously, the jobless rate (green dashed line) tends to spike during recessions, indicated by the shaded gray areas. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, we observe a surge in money market fund assets and a corresponding rise in unemployment rates. Read more...

Looks like the CPI has been rising steadily until COVID, then it took off at a higher clip. All this is unsustainable but when will the big correction come? I hate to say it but eggs were cheaper under Trump and all through his Presidency. Granted Biden had to deal with the COVID-19 crisis but after four years he couldn’t bring down the price eggs (and food).

The 2-year/10-year spread is what I always look to prepare for a recession. I don’t believe in “soft landings” but I do believe financial chicanery can postpone a recession. With Trump getting back into office he’ll pursue cutting interest rates. That’ll give the economy a jolt in the arm until inflation catches up. So who knows when the recession will happen, but it will. Of course, it’s easy for me to say that a recession will happen after a big Bull Market run, just like it’s easy to say that a Bull Market will happen right after a Bear Market. Read more...

I had a big epiphany in the last half of the year (2024) when I started selling option premium. I mostly sold covered calls and cash-secured puts and focused on the weekly expirations. I’ve been keeping the risk very low and not using any margin. I’ve been assigned 6 times in the last 6 months, 4 for puts and 2 for covered calls. This has caused me to buy 1,000 shares of SMH and 500 of IWM, so it cost me a pretty penny in my trading account. Read more...

Just a quick update on what I’ve been up to lately. First, I got laid off, which pushed me into an early retirement. That’s okay—it’s the perfect opportunity to strike out on my own again. Second, I’ve been diving into the options market and have found it to be quite profitable. I rarely buy calls or puts because, in my view, that’s pure speculative gambling. Instead, I’ve been selling options—primarily cash-secured puts and covered calls. Read more...