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CME volatility forecast

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for CME volatility forecast. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SLB market regime

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SLB market regime. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SLB seasonal performance

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SLB seasonal performance. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SLB seasonal returns

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SLB seasonal returns. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SLB volatility forecast

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SLB volatility forecast. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SVXY market regime

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SVXY market regime. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SVXY seasonal performance

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SVXY seasonal performance. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SVXY seasonal returns

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SVXY seasonal returns. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

SVXY volatility forecast

This is an automated post with AI generated graph for SVXY volatility forecast. This post gets updated on an irregular basis. The date this post was generated on was: 2025-04-21

Will the Recession Ever Arrive? A Data-Driven Look at the Yield Curve and Jobless Rate

I’m always monitoring economic data for clues about where the broader market and sentiment might be headed. Since I’m a visual thinker, I like to create charts—like my egg price and median house price charts. In this post, I’ll share my Python code for generating a chart that overlays the 2-year/10-year Treasury yield spread with the current jobless rate, highlighting recession periods for context. I track this chart closely because the 2-year/10-year spread has historically predicted recessions whenever it turns negative. However, the timing of a recession remains uncertain. This is where jobless rates become a crucial indicator—when employers start shedding jobs, the likelihood of a recession increases. ...